How does the United States lead the world in 2018?

How does the United States lead the world in 2018? The Special Correspondent's World Column (Central News Agency reporter Zheng Chongsheng's special telegraph from Washington on the 2nd) "(This year) will be a great year...

The Special Correspondent's Look at the World Column (Central News Agency reporter Zheng Chongsheng's special telegraph from Washington on the 2nd) "(This year) will be a great year." US President Trump tweeted about the future on the first day of the new year. Will it come true? For a country like the United States, its domestic political and economic situation affects world changes. Looking into the new year, both obstacles and opportunities remain to be seen.

It is Trump’s first working day after returning to the White House in the new year. By noon today, Trump has issued 10 consecutive messages. As expected, the new year is still the same as before.

Looking at it one by one, the summary of Trump's tweets includes: The Iranian people are suffering, but former President Obama "foolishly" allowed the Iranian government to fund terrorists; "Crooked Hillary"'s assistant Abedine violated the rules of using government secret information and was jailed. Will the Department of Justice take action against her team and former FBI Director Comey?

> The United States urgently needs to build a border wall; tax cuts allow companies to raise wages for employees, which is awesome; sanctions and other strategies to pressure North Korea have worked, and Rocket Man now wants to communicate with South Korea; after taking office, he has strictly controlled the safety of commercial aviation. There were no deaths last year, "the safest year in history."

>The declining New York Times changes owners; be fair to the President of the United States and won’t have to apologize to readers for poor reporting performance next time he wins re-election; the Democratic Party only cares about politics and does not care about the "Dreamers" program. Those Dreamers will start to fall in love with the Republican Party and their president who have solutions; take care of veterans.

Trump said a lot, which can be summarized in five sentences: the media and the opposition parties are terrible, (he) has done a great job in the past year, and the previous government’s actions in diplomacy were extremely failed. It was not until he took office that things started to change, such as North Korea.

However, the fact is that in 2009, the first year that Obama took office, there were no fatalities in commercial flight safety in the United States. Not to mention that as soon as Obama came to power, he faced the financial crisis and the most serious test of the U.S. economy after the Great Depression. After eight years of reform and adjustment, the baton was handed over to Trump.

Trump clearly understands that "idiot, the problem is the economy" is the topic of greatest concern to the public. Unlike most economists, he likes to use the stock market as an observation indicator of the US economy. However, it must be said that after Trump took over, "initially The number of people receiving unemployment benefits remained at 300,000 last year. This leading economic indicator directly reflects the fundamentals of the economy. He can indeed be proud that since taking office, he has made employment in the United States develop steadily, and the unemployment rate hit a multi-year low of 4.1% in November last year.

However, Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel Prize winner in economics and professor at Columbia University, clearly pointed out that this is "the trees planted by the predecessors and the shade provided by the descendants."

Stiglitz served as the White House economic adviser during the Clinton administration. He is worried that if the tax cut plan is implemented, not only will the uneven distribution of the United States worsen, but the national debt has already exceeded the debt limit of 20 trillion US dollars. With the government's pockets empty, "less revenue and less expenditure," the United States' current recovery may be a flashback before another economic storm.

Former Finance Minister Jacob Lew said in an interview with Bloomberg Radio today that the economy is better, and the government cuts taxes and borrows money, which is like "overdrafting the future" and spending trillions of dollars "who knows where". He said "this will bring down the country."

Don't think that the U.S. national debt issue has nothing to do with you and me in Taiwan. Taiwan, for example, is the 10th largest foreign government holding U.S. government debt. If the Wall Street banks that caused the financial crisis are "too big to fail," is the United States just like those big banks? Isn’t it true that Taiwan and many other countries that hold U.S. Treasury bonds are like investors who invested in derivative financial products at that time?

Bloomberg listed 13 prospects and fears for this year in an article. This fall, what conclusion will be made by the special prosecutor Mueller investigating the "Russia scandal" will be the primary concern of American public opinion. However, no matter what the outcome is, Trump has foreseen difficulties in his domestic political management this year as the shadow of the "Russia scandal" still lingers.

In this case, how much more attention can Trump have to focusing on foreign affairs? Or do you just stay true to yourself and chat with leaders of various countries from time to time? The most worrying thing is the verbal duel between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and Trump. They are afraid of miscalculation and misfire. Not only Japan and South Korea, but also China will be affected.

Stiglitz predicts that this year, the Trump administration will show its sword on trade agreements, but judging from the deadlock in the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement and the US-Korea Free Trade Agreement, he is not optimistic that the United States can meet Trump's wishes at the negotiating table. But next, will Trump take the step of withdrawing from the agreement? Will the trade dispute between the United States and China trigger a trade war? Globalization has narrowed and flattened the world, affecting the whole body. Members of the global village are all affected.

The international order and economic and trade rules are at higher risk of facing challenges nearly a year after Trump took office. Although the Trump administration advocates the establishment of "free, open and reciprocal" market economic rules in the Indo-Pacific region, we should still pay close attention to when the United States can launch a clearer blueprint.

In 2018, the United States will hold a congressional reelection that will be like Trump's "midterm exam." If the Republican Party continues to hold the majority in both houses and is similar to Trump, Trump's worldview will continue to influence global political and economic development; on the contrary, Trump will behave like many of his predecessors, showing a lame-duck attitude. The ability to govern a country like the United States is also related to the maintenance of the United States' international status, and it is not just Trump who will be tested.

>What kind of year will 2018 be? I hope it’s as great as Trump said. We’ll see. 1070103